Download Data Mining and Predictive Analysis. Intelligence Gathering by Colleen McCue (Auth.) PDF

By Colleen McCue (Auth.)

ISBN-10: 0750677961

ISBN-13: 9780750677967

Content material:

, Pages xiii-xiv

, Pages xv-xxiii

, Pages xxv-xxxi
1 - Basics

, Pages 3-18
2 - area Expertise

, Pages 19-24
3 - information Mining

, Pages 25-41
4 - strategy versions for facts Mining and Analysis

, Pages 45-66
5 - Data

, Pages 67-92
6 - Operationally proper Preprocessing

, Pages 93-115
7 - Predictive Analytics

, Pages 117-141
8 - Public Safety-Specific Evaluation

, Pages 143-163
9 - Operationally Actionable Output

, Pages 165-174
10 - basic Crime

, Pages 177-185
11 - Behavioral research of Violent Crime

, Pages 187-213
12 - probability and probability Assessment

, Pages 215-235
13 - Deployment

, Pages 239-265
14 - Surveillance Detection

, Pages 267-298
15 - complicated Topics

, Pages 301-313
16 - destiny Trends

, Pages 315-321

, Pages 323-332

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Additional info for Data Mining and Predictive Analysis. Intelligence Gathering and Crime Analysis

Sample text

Those victims previously involved in aggressive or violent patterns of offending were much more likely to have been shot if they also were known to carry a weapon, which might be related to or indicative of particularly aggressive interactional patterns of behavior. Injured drug dealers, on the other hand, were much less likely to carry a weapon, possibly indicating poor defensive skills in a very predatory criminal activity. Therefore, the association between getting shot and carrying a weapon was obscured when the data were in aggregate form.

On the other hand, the ability to characterize risk in potential victims provides an opportunity for targeted, risk-based interventions that ultimately can save lives and provide safer neighborhoods for all, a topic that will be covered in Chapter 11. This example, although a somewhat odd and inelegant use of “brute force” analytics, embodies the essence of data mining and predictive analytics within the public safety arena. Through the use of these powerful tools, we can understand crime and criminal behavior in a way that facilitates the generation of actionable models that can be deployed directly into the operational environment.

It was only when we looked at the relatively small group of drug traffickers who had been shot previously that we found relatively high levels of substance use and generally poor functioning. Our findings were somewhat confusing until we had the opportunity to discuss them with law enforcement professionals who were still actively working illegal narcotics. 3 Surprise were not surprised by our findings. They pointed out to us that most successful drug dealers do not use what they sell because it cuts into their profits and, perhaps more importantly, impairs their ability to function in an extremely predatory criminal environment.

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Data Mining and Predictive Analysis. Intelligence Gathering and Crime Analysis by Colleen McCue (Auth.)

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